SEC Predictions (Week 7)

This is the first real fall football weather weekend (currently 45F as I sit in my kitchen prepping this article). I love this time of year! Brisk, cool air; deep blue skies (but mostly rain around here lately), and SEC football!

This week I am turning back to Danny Sheridan’s odds. Let’s be honest; the point spreads this weekend suck, making this a scary weekend if you are throwing around something other than Monopoly dollars. Let’s see if I can improve on my 25-20 record

Miss. St at Mid Tennessee St
I am surprised that Miss. St. is only giving up 3.5 points to the Blue Raiders. I am not sure if this is an indictment on some of the lower tier SEC teams, or a stunning endorsement of the Sun Belt Conference. The Western Bulldogs will win and cover; it may be hard early on, but their depth will take them over the top. Miss. St is the pick.

Arkansas at 1 Florida
The Gators are giving up 24 points to the piglets; that is a lot of damn points, which makes this a total trap game. Arkansas may be over confident after thrashing Auburn, but are they 24 points bad to Florida? I am not sure why, but I am going to take Florida to cover.

UAB at Mississippi
Another trap game; the old guys from Mississippi are giving up 22 points to UAB of Conference USA. I don’t know jack crap about the Blazers, other than Roddy White rules thank you very much, but Mississippi is not about to beat the Blazers by 22 points. It is just too big of a spread to get folks like me to take the points. Done; UAB not to win, but I like the points.

Kentucky at Auburn
Kentucky is 0-3 in the SEC, but I do not think they are 13.5 points bad to the Tigers from Auburn. Both teams are coming off devastating loses, but they are different losses. The Tigers loss was just plain bad, while the Wildcats played their hearts out against the Fighting Chickens. Kentucky is the pick; not sure if they will win, but I like the points.

22 South Carolina at 2 Alabama
So far the Tide has easily dispatched all comers, and South Carolina should not be any different. The problem here is the spread; Alabama is giving up 17 points. Ouch. That is a nasty spread. If South Carolina brings their A defensive game, and their QB does not start throwing picks to the boys in crimson, the Tide will not roll. Alabama to win, but they will not cover. South Carolina and 17 points is the pick.

Georgia at Vanderbilt
It is always a scary proposition to take Georgia to cover (the Dawgs are giving up 8 points), but Vanderbilt is not very good this year. After the Commodores took it on the chin against Army, I am done picking them this year. Georgia covers.

Pretty bad state of affairs when I am just treating the Dawgs game as another ho-hum match up, but that is where we are right now with Georgia.

For what it is worth, I am taking Texas over Oklahoma. Not only will the Horns Hook ‘em, but I do not think this one will be as close as the betting lines are predicting.

Go Dawgs! Hook ‘em Horns!

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