{"id":159,"date":"2005-05-17T15:22:03","date_gmt":"2005-05-17T15:22:03","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2005-05-17T15:22:03","modified_gmt":"2005-05-17T15:22:03","slug":"consoles-predicting-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.calvertgames.com\/cgblog\/2005\/05\/17\/consoles-predicting-the-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Consoles – Predicting the Future"},"content":{"rendered":"

I have not had time to sink my teeth into all the new console announcements, but I find it interesting that predictions<\/a> are rolling out the door:<\/p>\n

\u201cIn 2004, Sony\u2019s older PlayStation 2 led the U.S. console wars with 43 percent of the market, according to Jupiter Research. The original Xbox was a distant No. 2 with 19 percent, followed by Nintendo\u2019s GameCube at 14 percent. The remainder included handheld game systems.<\/p>\n

But by 2010, Xbox 360 would grab the lead with 38 percent of the market, followed by Sony with 32 percent and Nintendo with 22 percent, Jupiter forecasts.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

I am not sure how Jupiter Research came to this conclusion, but it is interesting to see a prediction that Sony will lose 11% percent of the market, Microsoft will gain 19% of the market, and somehow Nintendo will even gain another 8% market share.<\/p>\n

Microsoft certainly has a chance to gain market share with their new system, but I wonder how companies such as Jupiter Research make these sort of forecasts, and more importantly to us gamers, how often are these predictions on the mark?<\/p>\n

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